[ Use cases ]
One record. Four ways to read it.
Arcthane is the same engine for everyone — every public federal award, scored every two hours. What changes is what you're listening for.
Case 01
The defense-stock follower
Retail trader with a watchlist of defense, space, and infrastructure names.
Awards print on public databases days before they reach the news cycle. By the time a headline says "$7.8B contract," the move has often started.
The play
- Watchlist your tickers; alerts fire the moment a scored award, subaward, or 8-K lands on one of them.
- The score's timing field tells you whether the read is same-day or already stale — so you never chase a priced-in print.
- The weekly digest catches anything the alerts didn't warrant interrupting you for.
Fits: Pulse
Case 02
The event-driven professional
PM, analyst, or full-time trader running an event-driven or catalyst book.
You already know awards move stocks. The bottleneck is coverage — nobody can read every solicitation, subaward, and budget line across the whole universe — and process: your thesis needs evidence, not vibes.
The play
- Component-level score breakdowns show why a signal scored 86 — materiality, historical analogue, regime — so you can disagree with the model on the record.
- The historical comparison engine pulls every similar award and what it did to a similar stock, in seconds instead of an afternoon.
- The regime layer flags when macro conditions historically muted or amplified this signal class.
Fits: Terminal
Case 03
The recompete forecaster
Anyone who wants the signal before the announcement exists.
Every federal contract has an expiration date, and most re-awards go to a predictable set of winners. The market reacts to announcements; the pipeline is visible months earlier.
The play
- Predicted-class signals name the likely winner of expiring contracts and open solicitations, with a stated win probability.
- Budget-class signals follow appropriated money to the incumbents positioned to receive it.
- When the award confirms, you were already positioned — the confirmed signal is your exit read, not your entry.
Fits: Pulse or Terminal
Case 04
The industry insider
BD and capture teams at government contractors tracking their own market.
You track competitors through trade press and word of mouth. The award record — who won what, who's subcontracting for whom, whose contracts expire when — is sharper and earlier.
The play
- Company pages assemble each public competitor's award history, subcontract network, and expiring-contract exposure.
- Solicitation and recompete signals double as a pipeline radar for opportunities in your own space.
- Budget signals show which programs just got funded — before the RFPs go out.
Fits: Terminal
Your read isn't here?
The 7-day trial is the honest demo — the full product, not a windowed preview. Find your own angle before a dollar moves.